Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 12.075527 14.078311 16.258251 18.800555 21.677022 24.823488 28.518388
2025-11-09 8.422663 11.086333 14.286871 18.382808 23.449043 29.471272 37.128882
2025-11-16 6.271054 9.115818 12.816911 17.910781 24.654145 33.181023 44.669000
2025-11-23 4.757889 7.552216 11.449142 17.156172 25.152453 35.788888 50.802349
2025-11-30 4.071172 6.957755 11.221956 17.790512 27.421051 40.752050 60.261596
2025-12-07 3.543309 6.479589 11.049361 18.412749 29.647214 45.744585 70.043609
2025-12-14 2.912374 5.708653 10.296902 18.030150 30.301002 48.484139 76.762977
2025-12-21 2.389497 5.014268 9.548093 17.525576 30.661502 50.746372 82.856116
2025-12-28 2.180914 4.840456 9.630385 18.354732 33.148817 56.332973 94.202413
2026-01-04 1.965214 4.611285 9.576840 18.929831 35.244520 61.419125 105.051768
2026-01-11 1.713954 4.263007 9.254728 18.986151 36.454702 65.150479 113.967989
2026-01-18 1.499662 3.949899 8.951292 19.029726 37.622033 68.853002 123.006252
2026-01-25 1.262022 3.555335 8.467544 18.749607 38.315117 72.017208 131.714989
2026-02-01 1.047363 3.169047 7.949217 18.356099 38.797583 74.917022 140.284728
2026-02-08 0.863715 2.811705 7.430661 17.888736 39.083717 77.478458 148.425839
2026-02-15 0.693859 2.442303 6.817489 17.135630 38.730084 78.852243 154.568169
2026-02-22 0.632708 2.359507 6.853896 17.769449 41.144839 85.362894 170.054388
2026-03-01 0.577613 2.280254 6.885117 18.391079 43.578675 92.045976 186.188192
2026-03-08 0.482802 2.049509 6.496680 18.008871 43.903985 94.788124 195.331697
2026-03-15 0.398493 1.825069 6.081613 17.504810 43.913395 96.906617 203.416883
2026-03-22 0.374145 1.803699 6.213510 18.333125 46.858883 104.887267 222.811476
2026-03-29 0.343224 1.748905 6.242338 18.907644 49.286691 111.975853 240.847894
2026-04-05 0.300355 1.633474 6.075134 18.963907 50.554115 116.811367 254.805861